Noemic

• Will people walk on the Moon before 2028?

  Before 1 January 2028, an astronaut on any nation's mission will walk on the lunar surface.

  Takes Yes

• Will anyone run a two-hour marathon?

  Before 1 January 2028, World Athletics will ratify a men's marathon world record faster than 2:00:00.

  Takes Yes

• Will driverless robotaxis reach five US cities?

  By 31 December 2026, one company will offer paid robotaxi rides to the public with no safety driver in the vehicle in at least five US metropolitan areas.

  Takes Yes

• Will Bitcoin close above $150,000 in 2026?

  On at least one calendar day in 2026, Bitcoin's daily close on Coinbase will exceed 150,000 US dollars.

  Takes Yes

• Will Apple sell a foldable this year?

  Apple will begin retail sales of a device with a foldable display before 1 January 2027.

  Takes Yes

• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

  NASA GISS will report 2026 as the warmest calendar year in its global surface temperature record.

  Takes Yes

• Will anyone sell a solid-state battery car?

  Before 1 January 2028, a passenger car with an all-solid-state battery pack will be available for retail purchase in at least one country.

  Takes Yes

• Will December inflation come in under 2.5%?

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics' first release of December 2026 CPI-U, all items, will show year-over-year inflation below 2.5%.

  Takes Yes

• Will Starship land both stages on one flight?

  Before 1 January 2027, SpaceX will fly a Starship mission on which both the booster and the ship are recovered intact for reuse.

  Takes Yes

• Will an AI model score 90% on SWE-bench?

  By 30 June 2027, a publicly available model from any lab will post a verified score of at least 90% on SWE-bench Verified.

  Takes Yes

Public record

No public records.